PGR Earnings Reaction History
The Progressive Corporation
EPS, Revenue, Stock Move
PGR stock rises 0.3% on average on the first trading day after earnings.
When PGR delivers a double beat, the stock rises 1.0% on average on the first trading day.
Across 40 releases, PGR has delivered a positive next-day return 52.5% of the time.
Reaction Snapshot (Avg Day 1-3)
Day 1
+0.25%
Day 2
-0.16%
Day 3
+0.21%
Conditioned Moves (Day 1 Basis)
Double Beat
+1.01%
Mixed
-0.84%
Double Miss
-0.25%
EPS Beat Rate
65.0%
Revenue Beat Rate
67.5%
Positive Rate
52.5%
Both Beat Rate
52.5%
Recent Earnings History
| Date | EPS | Revenue | Day 1 | Day 2 | Day 3 | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-15 | Beat+2.48% | Beat+2.87% | +2.36% | +1.11% | -0.44% | Open |
| 2026-01-28 | Beat+5.18% | Miss-3.90% | +2.24% | -2.11% | -0.12% | Open |
| 2025-10-15 | Miss-20.28% | Beat+3.26% | -5.78% | -2.10% | +1.75% | Open |
| 2025-07-16 | Beat+10.16% | Beat+7.51% | +1.76% | +0.33% | -0.35% | Open |
| 2025-04-16 | Miss-1.48% | Miss-4.96% | -0.35% | -3.52% | -3.03% | Open |
| 2025-01-29 | Beat+18.95% | Beat+10.76% | +0.55% | +1.14% | -1.12% | Open |
| 2024-10-15 | Beat+5.29% | Beat+3.61% | -0.11% | +1.50% | -1.58% | Open |
| 2024-07-16 | Beat+33.17% | Beat+1.02% | -3.27% | +5.40% | +1.44% | Open |
FAQ
How much does PGR usually move after earnings?
PGR moves about 0.3% on average on the first trading day after earnings. Net average direction is +0.25%.
What is PGR's biggest post-earnings gain?
PGR's largest recorded next-day earnings gain is +8.13%, on 2023-10-13.