MPC Earnings Reaction History
Marathon Petroleum Corporation
EPS, Revenue, Stock Move
MPC stock rises 0.6% on average on the first trading day after earnings.
When MPC delivers a double beat, the stock rises 1.5% on average on the first trading day.
Across 40 releases, MPC has delivered a positive next-day return 62.5% of the time.
Reaction Snapshot (Avg Day 1-3)
Day 1
+0.59%
Day 2
-0.36%
Day 3
+0.06%
Conditioned Moves (Day 1 Basis)
Double Beat
+1.46%
Mixed
-0.53%
Double Miss
-3.47%
EPS Beat Rate
87.5%
Revenue Beat Rate
72.5%
Positive Rate
62.5%
Both Beat Rate
67.5%
Recent Earnings History
| Date | EPS | Revenue | Day 1 | Day 2 | Day 3 | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-05 | Beat+129.17% | Beat+3.44% | +3.16% | -5.65% | -1.43% | Open |
| 2026-02-03 | Beat+49.08% | Beat+7.52% | +6.03% | +4.45% | -0.05% | Open |
| 2025-11-04 | Miss-3.22% | Beat+4.05% | -6.13% | +1.31% | +3.51% | Open |
| 2025-08-05 | Beat+22.98% | Beat+1.43% | +0.57% | -3.84% | -0.57% | Open |
| 2025-05-06 | Beat+61.90% | Miss-0.06% | +0.85% | +0.10% | +3.65% | Open |
| 2025-02-04 | Beat+1183.33% | Beat+0.98% | +6.74% | +0.25% | -3.42% | Open |
| 2024-11-05 | Beat+92.78% | Beat+3.00% | +3.19% | +3.80% | -0.81% | Open |
| 2024-08-06 | Beat+35.53% | Beat+3.01% | +5.46% | -0.90% | +2.83% | Open |
FAQ
How much does MPC usually move after earnings?
MPC moves about 0.6% on average on the first trading day after earnings. Net average direction is +0.59%.
What is MPC's biggest post-earnings gain?
MPC's largest recorded next-day earnings gain is +7.28%, on 2018-07-26.