IBM Earnings Reaction History
International Business Machines Corporation
EPS, Revenue, Stock Move
IBM stock falls 0.7% on average on the first trading day after earnings.
When IBM delivers a double beat, the stock falls 0.7% on average on the first trading day.
Across 40 releases, IBM has delivered a positive next-day return 45.0% of the time.
Reaction Snapshot (Avg Day 1-3)
Day 1
-0.71%
Day 2
+0.22%
Day 3
+0.32%
Conditioned Moves (Day 1 Basis)
Double Beat
-0.67%
Mixed
-0.96%
Double Miss
+0.43%
EPS Beat Rate
92.5%
Revenue Beat Rate
80.0%
Positive Rate
45.0%
Both Beat Rate
75.0%
Recent Earnings History
| Date | EPS | Revenue | Day 1 | Day 2 | Day 3 | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Miss±0.00% | Miss-1.73% | +0.43% | +3.65% | +0.98% | Open |
| 2026-04-22 | Beat+5.52% | Beat+1.83% | -8.25% | +0.39% | -1.69% | Open |
| 2026-01-28 | Beat+4.39% | Beat+2.58% | +5.13% | -0.82% | +2.62% | Open |
| 2025-10-22 | Beat+8.61% | Beat+1.48% | -0.87% | +7.88% | +1.83% | Open |
| 2025-07-23 | Beat+6.06% | Beat+2.34% | -7.62% | -0.30% | +1.34% | Open |
| 2025-04-23 | Beat+12.68% | Beat+1.05% | -6.58% | +1.34% | +1.61% | Open |
| 2025-01-29 | Beat+5.09% | Miss-0.03% | +12.96% | -1.00% | +1.97% | Open |
| 2024-10-23 | Beat+1.32% | Miss-0.73% | -6.17% | -1.70% | -0.82% | Open |
FAQ
How much does IBM usually move after earnings?
IBM moves about 0.7% on average on the first trading day after earnings. Net average direction is -0.71%.
What is IBM's biggest post-earnings gain?
IBM's largest recorded next-day earnings gain is +12.96%, on 2025-01-29.