GEO Earnings Reaction History
The GEO Group, Inc.
EPS, Revenue, Stock Move
GEO stock falls 0.5% on average on the first trading day after earnings.
When GEO delivers a double beat, the stock rises 0.8% on average on the first trading day.
Across 39 releases, GEO has delivered a positive next-day return 41.0% of the time.
Reaction Snapshot (Avg Day 1-3)
Day 1
-0.49%
Day 2
+0.41%
Day 3
-0.71%
Conditioned Moves (Day 1 Basis)
Double Beat
+0.75%
Mixed
-2.10%
Double Miss
+0.03%
EPS Beat Rate
76.9%
Revenue Beat Rate
61.5%
Positive Rate
41.0%
Both Beat Rate
48.7%
Recent Earnings History
| Date | EPS | Revenue | Day 1 | Day 2 | Day 3 | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Beat+32.14% | Beat+1.48% | -4.07% | +1.82% | -0.10% | Open |
| 2026-05-06 | Beat+52.63% | Beat+2.37% | +20.92% | -4.41% | +2.54% | Open |
| 2026-02-12 | Miss±0.00% | Beat+6.06% | -14.91% | +5.49% | +2.60% | Open |
| 2025-11-06 | Beat+13.64% | Beat+2.27% | -8.33% | -1.82% | -0.99% | Open |
| 2025-08-06 | Beat+37.50% | Miss-2.18% | -11.46% | -6.03% | -0.79% | Open |
| 2025-05-07 | Miss-22.22% | Miss-4.87% | -10.04% | -3.73% | -4.14% | Open |
| 2025-02-27 | Miss-38.10% | Beat+0.20% | +6.05% | +0.07% | -4.13% | Open |
| 2024-11-07 | Miss-12.50% | Miss-0.87% | +13.63% | +3.81% | +4.42% | Open |
FAQ
How much does GEO usually move after earnings?
GEO moves about 0.5% on average on the first trading day after earnings. Net average direction is -0.49%.
What is GEO's biggest post-earnings gain?
GEO's largest recorded next-day earnings gain is +20.92%, on 2026-05-06.