AGO Earnings Reaction History
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
EPS, Revenue, Stock Move
AGO stock rises 0.4% on average on the first trading day after earnings.
When AGO delivers a double beat, the stock rises 1.7% on average on the first trading day.
Across 39 releases, AGO has delivered a positive next-day return 53.8% of the time.
Reaction Snapshot (Avg Day 1-3)
Day 1
+0.40%
Day 2
-0.05%
Day 3
-0.57%
Conditioned Moves (Day 1 Basis)
Double Beat
+1.71%
Mixed
+0.32%
Double Miss
-5.16%
EPS Beat Rate
74.4%
Revenue Beat Rate
76.9%
Positive Rate
53.8%
Both Beat Rate
66.7%
Recent Earnings History
| Date | EPS | Revenue | Day 1 | Day 2 | Day 3 | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-07 | Beat+66.67% | Beat+25.10% | -8.95% | +5.14% | -2.48% | Open |
| 2026-02-26 | Beat+50.65% | Beat+34.58% | -0.50% | +1.44% | -0.63% | Open |
| 2025-11-06 | Beat+76.03% | Beat+1.14% | +6.52% | -0.58% | +1.60% | Open |
| 2025-08-07 | Miss-35.67% | Beat+1.14% | -3.02% | +0.26% | -0.11% | Open |
| 2025-05-08 | Beat+0.95% | Beat+48.90% | -1.19% | -0.01% | +0.34% | Open |
| 2025-02-27 | Miss-14.19% | Miss-23.83% | -5.28% | +2.83% | -3.33% | Open |
| 2024-11-11 | Beat+70.42% | Beat+32.79% | +2.07% | -2.69% | +2.91% | Open |
| 2024-08-07 | Miss-2.04% | Miss-2.25% | -2.37% | -0.64% | +0.92% | Open |
FAQ
How much does AGO usually move after earnings?
AGO moves about 0.4% on average on the first trading day after earnings. Net average direction is +0.40%.
What is AGO's biggest post-earnings gain?
AGO's largest recorded next-day earnings gain is +13.24%, on 2022-02-24.