AA Earnings Reaction History
Alcoa Corporation
EPS, Revenue, Stock Move
AA stock falls 1.5% on average on the first trading day after earnings.
When AA delivers a double beat, the stock rises 0.2% on average on the first trading day.
Across 38 releases, AA has delivered a positive next-day return 39.5% of the time.
Reaction Snapshot (Avg Day 1-3)
Day 1
-1.53%
Day 2
-0.19%
Day 3
-0.61%
Conditioned Moves (Day 1 Basis)
Double Beat
+0.18%
Mixed
-2.88%
Double Miss
-2.98%
EPS Beat Rate
71.1%
Revenue Beat Rate
57.9%
Positive Rate
39.5%
Both Beat Rate
44.7%
Recent Earnings History
| Date | EPS | Revenue | Day 1 | Day 2 | Day 3 | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-16 | Miss-12.50% | Miss-2.64% | -6.80% | +1.39% | +0.93% | Open |
| 2026-01-22 | Beat+32.63% | Beat+5.28% | -1.47% | -5.88% | +1.90% | Open |
| 2025-10-22 | Beat+86.67% | Miss-3.12% | +12.59% | -1.79% | +1.22% | Open |
| 2025-07-16 | Beat+34.48% | Beat+3.80% | +2.91% | +3.20% | +2.14% | Open |
| 2025-04-16 | Beat+24.28% | Miss-3.05% | -6.98% | -0.09% | +4.38% | Open |
| 2025-01-22 | Beat+11.83% | Beat+0.71% | -3.69% | +0.21% | -6.57% | Open |
| 2024-10-16 | Beat+147.83% | Miss-2.12% | -4.09% | +3.37% | -0.46% | Open |
| 2024-07-17 | Beat+45.45% | Beat+2.18% | -3.15% | -2.05% | -1.12% | Open |
FAQ
How much does AA usually move after earnings?
AA moves about 1.5% on average on the first trading day after earnings. Net average direction is -1.53%.
What is AA's biggest post-earnings gain?
AA's largest recorded next-day earnings gain is +15.23%, on 2021-10-14.